Bootle FC vs Burton Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17%
19.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+75%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
50% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Mid-table | 100% | 100% |
ELO progression
THE
BUR
WAL
POR
CRE
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bootle FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO THE | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1893 |
BIR
6 - 2
THE
51%
26%
24%
|
1206 | 1349 | 143 | -10 |
| 21 Jan. 1893 |
THE
5 - 3
MAC
46%
27%
27%
|
1196 | 1281 | -85 | +9 |
| 07 Jan. 1893 |
CRE
2 - 1
THE
46%
27%
27%
|
1202 | 1202 | 0 | -6 |
| 31 Dec. 1892 |
THE
5 - 1
DAR
45%
27%
28%
|
1190 | 1298 | -108 | +12 |
| 24 Dec. 1892 |
WAL
4 - 4
THE
47%
27%
26%
|
1190 | 1200 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Burton Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO BUR | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1893 |
LIN
5 - 1
BUR
45%
27%
28%
|
1269 | 1205 | -64 | -11 |
| 06 Feb. 1893 |
SHE
3 - 1
BUR
49%
26%
25%
|
1277 | 1305 | 28 | -9 |
| 04 Feb. 1893 |
BUR
3 - 2
WAL
51%
25%
23%
|
1272 | 1179 | 93 | +5 |
| 14 Jan. 1893 |
BUR
2 - 0
MAC
47%
27%
26%
|
1263 | 1290 | -27 | +9 |
| 24 Dec. 1892 |
BUR
0 - 2
DAR
46%
27%
27%
|
1273 | 1288 | -15 | -10 |