Carioca 1 Primera Ronda Jor. 4

Bonsucesso vs Bangu analysis

Bonsucesso Bangu
44 ELO 51
-12.8% Tilt -13.9%
23256º General ELO ranking 4829º
598º Country ELO ranking 181º
ELO win probability
30.3%
Bonsucesso
27.6%
Draw
42.1%
Bangu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
Bonsucesso
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
42.1%
Win probability
Bangu
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bonsucesso
-8%
-6%
Bangu

ELO progression

Bonsucesso
Bangu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bonsucesso
Bonsucesso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2016
CAB
Cabofriense
3 - 1
Bonsucesso
BON
45%
26%
29%
47 44 3 0
03 Feb. 2016
FLU
Fluminense
4 - 0
Bonsucesso
BON
85%
12%
3%
47 79 32 0
31 Jan. 2016
BON
Bonsucesso
0 - 2
Resende
RES
31%
28%
40%
48 54 6 -1
09 Nov. 2015
BON
Bonsucesso
2 - 3
Macaé Esporte
MAC
25%
26%
48%
48 55 7 0
05 Nov. 2015
BON
Bonsucesso
1 - 3
Resende
RES
37%
29%
35%
49 51 2 -1

Matches

Bangu
Bangu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2016
BAN
Bangu
3 - 1
Friburguense
FRI
51%
26%
23%
50 46 4 0
04 Feb. 2016
TIG
Tigres do Brasil
0 - 2
Bangu
BAN
25%
26%
49%
50 38 12 0
30 Jan. 2016
BAN
Bangu
0 - 2
Botafogo
BOT
12%
20%
68%
50 75 25 0
21 Oct. 2015
ANG
Angra dos Reis
0 - 0
Bangu
BAN
22%
26%
53%
50 35 15 0
14 Oct. 2015
BAN
Bangu
1 - 0
Resende
RES
41%
28%
32%
49 51 2 +1
X