Bonnyrigg Rose vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
10º
8º
45
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonnyrigg Rose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 1
STE
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 2
STI
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
STR
0 - 1
BRA
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 2
BLA
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 0
BRA
53%
25%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 0
STI
33%
26%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
STE
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
STR
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 1
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
DUM
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |