Bon Pastor vs San Juan de Montcada B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
11.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bon Pastor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
MON
0 - 5
BPA
15%
19%
66%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
BPA
5 - 0
MON
65%
18%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BUF
1 - 0
BPA
40%
22%
39%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BPA
7 - 1
CAL
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SGP
0 - 0
BPA
27%
21%
52%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
San Juan de Montcada B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
JUA
2 - 2
SGP
32%
20%
48%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
PRE
0 - 3
JUA
27%
20%
53%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
JUA
0 - 1
ADR
48%
20%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
JUA
2 - 1
PDA
21%
19%
60%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
YTB
4 - 1
JUA
65%
17%
18%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |