Bolton City vs ASPL 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BOL
0 - 2
PAM
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
BOL
1 - 1
PET
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
SAV
1 - 4
BOL
24%
27%
50%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
CUR
0 - 1
BOL
22%
27%
51%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
CER
0 - 1
BOL
25%
27%
47%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
ASPL 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
APL
3 - 1
ASD
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
APL
0 - 3
CUR
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CER
0 - 1
APL
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
APL
0 - 1
PAM
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SAV
1 - 1
APL
29%
23%
48%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |