Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/32
Global 3-3
Bolognesi Tacna vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolognesi Tacna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
ALI
4 - 1
BOL
70%
17%
13%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
BOL
1 - 0
ALI
38%
24%
38%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
SAM
0 - 0
MEL
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
ALI
2 - 3
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
ALI
3 - 1
SAM
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
SAM
0 - 1
GAL
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
SBO
0 - 0
SAM
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |