Bologna vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
59.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SPE
0 - 1
BOL
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
BOL
0 - 1
VNZ
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 2
BOL
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 0
CAG
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
NAP
3 - 0
BOL
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ROM
1 - 0
TOR
71%
17%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
ROM
4 - 0
ZOR
68%
18%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
GEN
0 - 2
ROM
20%
21%
59%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
VNZ
3 - 2
ROM
14%
19%
67%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
ROM
2 - 2
BOG
60%
20%
20%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |