Bologna vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
63.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 0
BOL
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BOL
0 - 3
INT
23%
25%
52%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FRO
0 - 0
BOL
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
BOL
0 - 1
SPA
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
BOL
2 - 0
PAD
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
RMA
3 - 0
ROM
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ROM
2 - 2
CHI
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 1
ROM
15%
21%
64%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
ACM
2 - 1
ROM
29%
25%
46%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
ROM
3 - 3
ATL
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |