Bologna vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
ACM
2 - 0
BOL
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BOL
0 - 0
ACD
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BOL
2 - 0
FER
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
BOL
1 - 1
TOR
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
FIO
4 - 0
BOL
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 2
NAP
18%
23%
58%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
PAR
6 - 0
PRO
84%
12%
4%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 2
EMP
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 0
CAR
70%
19%
12%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
LEC
3 - 4
PAR
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |