Serie A round 19

Bologna vs Napoli analysis

Bologna Napoli
84 ELO 79
-3.4% Tilt -20.2%
54º General ELO ranking 19º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
65%
Bologna
18.2%
Draw
16.8%
Napoli

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
Bologna
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.8%
Win probability
Napoli
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bologna
-2%
-3%
Napoli

ELO progression

Bologna
Napoli
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bologna
Bologna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 1936
INT
Inter
3 - 1
Bologna
BOL
69%
17%
14%
84 85 1 0
02 Feb. 1936
BOL
Bologna
1 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
64%
19%
18%
84 80 4 0
26 Jan. 1936
GEN
Genoa
1 - 1
Bologna
BOL
42%
26%
32%
84 73 11 0
12 Jan. 1936
TRI
Triestina
2 - 2
Bologna
BOL
40%
27%
33%
84 74 10 0
05 Jan. 1936
PAL
Palermo FC
2 - 0
Bologna
BOL
30%
29%
41%
84 69 15 0

Matches

Napoli
Napoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 1936
NAP
Napoli
1 - 2
Roma
ROM
47%
24%
29%
79 82 3 0
02 Feb. 1936
BRE
Brescia
2 - 0
Napoli
NAP
28%
23%
48%
80 68 12 -1
26 Jan. 1936
NAP
Napoli
4 - 2
Sampierdarenese
SAM
59%
21%
21%
79 72 7 +1
12 Jan. 1936
NAP
Napoli
1 - 0
Milan
ACM
55%
23%
22%
79 75 4 0
05 Jan. 1936
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 1
Napoli
NAP
50%
23%
28%
80 76 4 -1