Bologna vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
UDI
1 - 1
BOL
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BOL
3 - 0
LAZ
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
EMP
4 - 2
BOL
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 2
GEN
44%
24%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
INT
6 - 1
BOL
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
FCP
1 - 0
ACM
46%
25%
30%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ACM
3 - 2
VER
75%
16%
8%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 3
ACM
53%
23%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
ACM
1 - 2
ATM
36%
27%
38%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SPE
1 - 2
ACM
17%
23%
61%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | +1 |