Bologna vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
BOL
2 - 1
ASC
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
USC
2 - 1
BOL
42%
30%
29%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
GEN
0 - 0
BOL
46%
29%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
BOL
1 - 0
CES
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
BAR
0 - 0
BOL
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
LAZ
4 - 0
CES
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
JUV
1 - 0
LAZ
80%
15%
6%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
LAZ
0 - 0
VER
53%
27%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
LEC
0 - 0
LAZ
50%
28%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
LAZ
1 - 1
FIO
44%
28%
29%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |