Bologna vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
ROM
1 - 1
BOL
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
LAZ
2 - 4
BOL
42%
25%
32%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1941 |
BOL
2 - 0
TRI
75%
16%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
BOL
5 - 3
FIO
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
LIV
2 - 2
BOL
35%
27%
39%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
JUV
3 - 2
LAZ
66%
19%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
JUV
2 - 3
FIO
69%
17%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1941 |
ACM
2 - 2
JUV
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
JUV
5 - 1
BAR
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
VNZ
1 - 1
JUV
35%
24%
42%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |