Bologna vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1988 |
MES
1 - 1
BOL
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1988 |
BOL
0 - 0
BRE
61%
25%
15%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1988 |
BOL
2 - 0
LAZ
60%
25%
16%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1988 |
UDI
2 - 2
BOL
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
BOL
0 - 1
LEC
59%
25%
16%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1988 |
GEN
0 - 1
TAR
55%
27%
18%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1988 |
FCC
2 - 0
GEN
48%
30%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1988 |
GEN
0 - 0
PAR
52%
28%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1988 |
PAD
0 - 2
GEN
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
GEN
1 - 0
ARZ
57%
27%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |