Bologna vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LAT
1 - 2
BOL
31%
30%
39%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
VIC
0 - 0
BOL
27%
29%
44%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 0
CTT
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
TER
0 - 1
BOL
34%
29%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BOL
0 - 2
CRO
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 2
CTT
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 1
VAR
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
VAR
5 - 2
TRA
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
LIV
1 - 0
VAR
56%
23%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LEO
4 - 0
VAR
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |