Bolívar vs Royal Pari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2019 |
SBW
1 - 3
BOL
9%
17%
74%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
BOL
2 - 1
NAC
72%
17%
12%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
STR
3 - 2
BOL
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
BOL
5 - 0
AUR
88%
9%
3%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 2
BOL
42%
23%
36%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Royal Pari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2019 |
ROY
0 - 2
JWI
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
OPE
1 - 3
ROY
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
ROY
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ROY
0 - 1
SBW
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
NAC
5 - 2
ROY
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |