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Clausura LFPB. Matchday 11

Bolívar vs Real Santa Cruz analysis

Bolívar Real Santa Cruz
57 ELO 45
77% Tilt -49%
529º General ELO ranking 3305º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
87.9%
Bolívar
8.8%
Draw
3.2%
Real Santa Cruz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
Bolívar
3.09
Expected goals
11-0
<0%
+11
<0%
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
3.2%
Win probability
Real Santa Cruz
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bolívar
+88%
-12%
Real Santa Cruz

Points and table prediction

Bolívar
Their league position
Real Santa Cruz
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
15
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bolívar
25
25
100%
The Strongest
23
23
100%
Real Potosí
20
20
100%
Jorge Wilstermann
18
18
100%
Oriente Petrolero
16
16
50%
Guabirá Santa Cruz
16
16
50%
Iberoamericana
15
15
33%
Mariscal
15
15
33%
Real Santa Cruz
15
15
33%
Independiente
10º
14
14
10º
100%
Blooming
11º
13
13
11º
100%
Unión Tarija
12º
6
6
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bolívar
Real Santa Cruz
Champion
100% 0%
Knockout stages
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Bolívar
BOL
Real Santa Cruz
SAC
Blooming
BLO
Jorge Wilstermann
JWI
Mariscal
MBB
Independiente
CIP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bolívar
Bolívar
1%
X%
2%
ELO BOL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2001
STR
The Strongest
3 - 3
Bolívar
BOL
40%
28%
32%
1259 992 -267 -1
13 Sep. 2001
BOL
Bolívar
3 - 1
Mariscal
MBB
58%
24%
18%
1254 845 409 +4
09 Sep. 2001
JWI
Jorge Wilstermann
1 - 3
Bolívar
BOL
37%
28%
35%
1249 861 -388 +5
29 Aug. 2001
BOL
Bolívar
1 - 1
Independiente
CIP
57%
23%
20%
1251 817 434 -2
26 Aug. 2001
SAC
Real Santa Cruz
1 - 1
Bolívar
BOL
36%
27%
37%
1252 753 -499 -1

Matches

Real Santa Cruz
Real Santa Cruz
1%
X%
2%
ELO SAC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2001
GUA
Guabirá Santa Cruz
0 - 0
Real Santa Cruz
SAC
47%
27%
26%
761 867 106 +1
13 Sep. 2001
SAC
Real Santa Cruz
5 - 2
Independiente
CIP
46%
27%
28%
753 826 -73 +8
09 Sep. 2001
MBB
Mariscal
2 - 0
Real Santa Cruz
SAC
49%
26%
25%
759 839 80 -6
28 Aug. 2001
SAC
Real Santa Cruz
1 - 0
Blooming
BLO
42%
28%
31%
754 922 -168 +5
26 Aug. 2001
SAC
Real Santa Cruz
1 - 1
Bolívar
BOL
36%
27%
37%
753 1252 -499 +1