Bolívar vs Real Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
STR
3 - 3
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2001 |
BOL
3 - 1
MBB
62%
21%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
JWI
1 - 3
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
BOL
1 - 1
CIP
67%
19%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
SAC
1 - 1
BOL
28%
24%
48%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAC
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2001 |
SAC
5 - 2
CIP
37%
25%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
MBB
2 - 0
SAC
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2001 |
SAC
1 - 0
BLO
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
SAC
1 - 1
BOL
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |