Bolívar vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
JWI
2 - 0
BOL
32%
23%
45%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
BOL
0 - 0
REA
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
RPO
2 - 3
BOL
10%
16%
73%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
BOL
4 - 0
SAC
82%
12%
5%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
STR
2 - 1
BOL
58%
20%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
OPE
0 - 1
CMV
40%
28%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
OPE
1 - 0
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2020 |
JWI
2 - 2
OPE
67%
20%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
OPE
2 - 0
REA
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
OPE
2 - 0
RPO
55%
23%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |