Bolívar vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
IND
2 - 1
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
BLO
2 - 2
BOL
24%
23%
53%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
BOL
6 - 0
GUA
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
RPO
0 - 2
BOL
19%
21%
60%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
ROY
1 - 1
BOL
42%
24%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
AUR
2 - 0
BLO
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
4 - 0
AUR
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
AUR
5 - 0
RPO
59%
23%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
ROY
1 - 0
AUR
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
REA
2 - 0
AUR
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |