Bolamense vs Capital Brasilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
78.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
17%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.7%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolamense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
BFC
0 - 2
DOM
8%
14%
78%
|
9 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TAG
4 - 0
BFC
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 59 | 50 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 1
BFC
81%
13%
7%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
BFC
2 - 3
SOB
7%
14%
79%
|
9 | 48 | 39 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CEI
4 - 0
BFC
81%
13%
6%
|
10 | 45 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
Capital Brasilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CAP
2 - 0
SAN
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 0
CAP
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CAP
1 - 0
TAG
8%
14%
78%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CAP
0 - 1
LUZ
24%
25%
51%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
CAP
1 - 0
CEI
18%
21%
61%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +3 |