Bogotá vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
BOG
1 - 2
CHI
30%
24%
46%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 1
BOG
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 1
BOG
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
BOG
1 - 1
CAR
34%
24%
42%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
BOG
0 - 3
TFC
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 2
FOR
56%
22%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 3
CAR
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 1
BOG
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 1
FOR
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |