Primera B Clausura . Jor. 4

Bogotá vs Fortaleza analysis

Bogotá Fortaleza
60 ELO 59
1.1% Tilt -3.9%
2296º General ELO ranking 441º
33º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
48.8%
Bogotá
25.8%
Draw
25.3%
Fortaleza

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
Bogotá
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.3%
Win probability
Fortaleza
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bogotá
-28%
+1%
Fortaleza

ELO progression

Bogotá
Fortaleza
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bogotá
Bogotá
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2019
BAR
Barranquilla
0 - 2
Bogotá
BOG
41%
28%
31%
59 58 1 0
31 Jul. 2019
BOG
Bogotá
2 - 1
Deportes Quindío
QUI
36%
28%
36%
58 64 6 +1
21 Jul. 2019
AFC
Atlético Fútbol Club
0 - 1
Bogotá
BOG
28%
27%
45%
58 49 9 0
08 May. 2019
BOG
Bogotá
1 - 0
Boyacá Chicó
CHI
31%
24%
44%
57 62 5 +1
04 May. 2019
TFC
Tigres FC
0 - 3
Bogotá
BOG
50%
28%
23%
56 62 6 +1

Matches

Fortaleza
Fortaleza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2019
FOR
Fortaleza
3 - 0
Boyacá Chicó
CHI
34%
28%
39%
57 64 7 0
28 Jul. 2019
LLA
Llaneros
2 - 0
Fortaleza
FOR
46%
26%
27%
58 58 0 -1
24 Jul. 2019
PER
Deportivo Pereira
1 - 0
Fortaleza
FOR
67%
20%
13%
59 71 12 -1
08 May. 2019
LLA
Llaneros
1 - 0
Fortaleza
FOR
45%
24%
31%
59 61 2 0
04 May. 2019
BAR
Barranquilla
2 - 0
Fortaleza
FOR
42%
27%
31%
60 59 1 -1
X