Bogen vs Pullach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LAN
0 - 1
BOG
65%
19%
16%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BOG
0 - 2
FCP
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
VRG
4 - 2
BOG
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BOG
1 - 2
RAI
69%
18%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ISM
1 - 2
BOG
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Pullach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
PUL
1 - 0
WOL
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
WAC
0 - 0
PUL
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
PUL
4 - 0
SCH
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
AFF
0 - 2
PUL
23%
22%
54%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
LAN
0 - 4
PUL
26%
24%
50%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |