2. Bundesliga round 16

VfL Bochum vs FC St Pauli analysis

VfL Bochum FC St Pauli
72 ELO 70
-3.7% Tilt 8.4%
182º General ELO ranking 99º
21º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
48.8%
VfL Bochum
25.6%
Draw
25.6%
FC St Pauli

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
VfL Bochum
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.6%
Win probability
FC St Pauli
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
VfL Bochum
+5%
+2%
FC St Pauli

ELO progression

VfL Bochum
FC St Pauli
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2018
MAG
Magdeburg
0 - 0
VfL Bochum
BOC
32%
26%
42%
73 69 4 0
24 Nov. 2018
BOC
VfL Bochum
2 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
59%
23%
18%
72 64 8 +1
12 Nov. 2018
BOC
VfL Bochum
1 - 0
Darmstadt 98
DAR
40%
26%
33%
73 73 0 -1
02 Nov. 2018
SGF
Greuther Fürth
2 - 2
VfL Bochum
BOC
38%
26%
36%
72 70 2 +1
29 Oct. 2018
BOC
VfL Bochum
3 - 3
Jahn Regensburg
SSV
42%
26%
32%
72 71 1 0

Matches

FC St Pauli
FC St Pauli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2018
STP
FC St Pauli
1 - 1
Dynamo Dresden
SGD
40%
26%
34%
69 68 1 0
25 Nov. 2018
SSV
Jahn Regensburg
1 - 1
FC St Pauli
STP
51%
24%
25%
69 71 2 0
10 Nov. 2018
STP
FC St Pauli
1 - 1
Heidenheim
HEI
37%
26%
37%
70 71 1 -1
04 Nov. 2018
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 2
FC St Pauli
STP
42%
26%
32%
70 68 2 0
28 Oct. 2018
STP
FC St Pauli
0 - 1
Holstein Kiel
HOL
34%
26%
40%
71 74 3 -1