VfL Bochum vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
BOC
1 - 0
DAR
40%
26%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
SGF
2 - 2
BOC
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
BOC
3 - 3
SSV
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
HSV
0 - 0
BOC
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
BOC
1 - 0
ARB
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
ERZ
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
ERZ
1 - 3
HSV
16%
23%
61%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
HEI
1 - 0
ERZ
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ERZ
1 - 0
ARB
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
SGD
1 - 1
ERZ
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |