Bundesliga Round 29

VfL Bochum vs FC Augsburg analysis

VfL Bochum FC Augsburg
87 ELO 90
2.5% Tilt 19.6%
183º General ELO ranking 86º
21º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
31.6%
VfL Bochum
24.9%
Draw
43.5%
FC Augsburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
VfL Bochum
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
43.5%
Win probability
FC Augsburg
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
VfL Bochum
+4%
+9%
FC Augsburg

Points and table prediction

VfL Bochum
Their league position
FC Augsburg
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
12º
18º
18º
43
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München
82
82
100%
B. Leverkusen
68
68
100%
Eintracht Frankfurt
60
60
100%
B. Dortmund
57
57
100%
SC Freiburg
55
55
100%
Mainz 05
54
54
100%
RB Leipzig
51
51
0%
Werder Bremen
51
51
0%
Stuttgart
50
50
100%
B. Mönchengladbach
10º
45
45
10º
100%
Wolfsburg
11º
43
43
11º
0%
FC Augsburg
12º
43
43
12º
0%
Union Berlin
13º
40
40
13º
100%
FC St Pauli
14º
32
32
14º
0%
Hoffenheim
15º
32
32
15º
0%
Heidenheim
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Holstein Kiel
17º
25
25
17º
100%
VfL Bochum
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
VfL Bochum
FC Augsburg
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

VfL Bochum
FC Augsburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2025
BOC
VfL Bochum
0 - 4
Stuttgart
STU
15%
20%
65%
87 95 8 0
28 Mar. 2025
LEV
B. Leverkusen
3 - 1
VfL Bochum
BOC
78%
15%
7%
87 100 13 0
20 Mar. 2025
BOC
VfL Bochum
4 - 2
Preußen Münster
PRE
61%
20%
19%
87 78 9 0
16 Mar. 2025
BOC
VfL Bochum
1 - 3
Eintracht Frankfurt
EIN
15%
19%
66%
87 94 7 0
08 Mar. 2025
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 3
VfL Bochum
BOC
85%
11%
4%
86 100 14 +1

Matches

FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2025
AUG
FC Augsburg
1 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
5%
11%
84%
90 100 10 0
29 Mar. 2025
HOF
Hoffenheim
1 - 1
FC Augsburg
AUG
48%
24%
28%
90 90 0 0
15 Mar. 2025
AUG
FC Augsburg
1 - 0
Wolfsburg
WOL
28%
25%
48%
89 93 4 +1
08 Mar. 2025
BVB
B. Dortmund
0 - 1
FC Augsburg
AUG
75%
16%
9%
89 97 8 0
02 Mar. 2025
AUG
FC Augsburg
0 - 0
SC Freiburg
SCF
28%
25%
47%
89 93 4 0