Boca Júnior FC vs Atlético Gloriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 0
BOC
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
BOC
3 - 0
AFP
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CON
3 - 2
BOC
78%
15%
7%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
BOC
2 - 2
AMP
76%
15%
10%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
DOR
2 - 1
BOC
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Gloriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
ATG
0 - 0
DOR
29%
22%
48%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CON
2 - 1
ATG
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 59 | 33 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
ATG
1 - 2
MAR
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
ATG
1 - 0
ROS
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
ROS
0 - 3
ATG
21%
20%
59%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |