Boavista vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
26.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BOA
1 - 0
TON
54%
27%
19%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 0
BOA
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
BOA
0 - 0
PAÇ
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SCP
4 - 0
BOA
72%
19%
9%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
BOA
0 - 1
RIO
37%
29%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 2
RIO
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
TON
2 - 0
NAC
33%
28%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
MOR
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
EST
0 - 1
NAC
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
VIT
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |