Boa EC vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
DEM
4 - 1
BOA
43%
25%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
BOA
3 - 2
RBR
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
USC
0 - 1
BOA
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
MIR
0 - 2
BOA
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
BOA
1 - 0
TUP
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 3
CRZ
9%
19%
72%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 3
DEM
59%
21%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
RBR
3 - 1
VIL
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
IFC
2 - 3
VIL
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
0 - 2
TUP
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |