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Conference North. Matchday 30

Blyth Spartans vs Histon analysis

Blyth Spartans Histon
9 ELO 10
-9% Tilt 22%
6440º General ELO ranking 5852º
706º Country ELO ranking 697º
ELO win probability
37.5%
Blyth Spartans
27%
Draw
35.6%
Histon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
Blyth Spartans
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.6%
Win probability
Histon
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Blyth Spartans
-8%
+27%
Histon

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hyde
90
90
100%
Guiseley
85
85
100%
FC Halifax Town
74
74
50%
Gainsborough Trinity
74
74
50%
Nuneaton Town
72
72
100%
Stalybridge Celtic
71
71
100%
Worcester City
65
65
100%
Altrincham
61
61
100%
Droylsden
59
59
100%
Bishops Stortford
10º
58
58
10º
100%
Boston United
11º
54
54
11º
100%
Colwyn Bay
12º
53
53
12º
100%
Workington
13º
52
52
15º
33%
Gloucester City
14º
52
52
13º
33%
Harrogate Town
15º
52
52
14º
33%
Histon
16º
51
51
16º
100%
Corby Town
17º
50
50
17º
50%
Vauxhall Motors
18º
50
50
18º
50%
Solihull Moors
19º
49
49
19º
100%
Hinckley United
20º
48
48
20º
100%
Blyth Spartans
21º
34
34
21º
100%
Eastwood Town
22º
20
20
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Blyth Spartans
Histon
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Histon
HIS
Blyth Spartans
BLY
Droylsden
DRO
Eastwood Town
EAS
Guiseley
GUI
Harrogate Town
TOW
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Blyth Spartans
Blyth Spartans
1%
X%
2%
ELO BLY ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2012
COL
Colwyn Bay
0 - 2
Blyth Spartans
BLY
44%
27%
29%
146 156 10 +1
25 Feb. 2012
THE
Worcester City
2 - 1
Blyth Spartans
BLY
44%
27%
29%
147 161 14 -1
21 Feb. 2012
BLY
Blyth Spartans
1 - 1
Stalybridge Celtic
STA
46%
27%
27%
147 165 -18 0
18 Feb. 2012
ALT
Altrincham
2 - 1
Blyth Spartans
BLY
46%
27%
28%
148 105 -43 -1
24 Jan. 2012
BLY
Blyth Spartans
1 - 1
Altrincham
ALT
47%
27%
26%
148 106 42 0

Matches

Histon
Histon
1%
X%
2%
ELO HIS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2012
HIS
Histon
2 - 3
Altrincham
ALT
47%
27%
26%
155 105 50 -1
25 Feb. 2012
HIS
Histon
0 - 0
Colwyn Bay
COL
46%
27%
27%
155 156 -1 0
18 Feb. 2012
COR
Corby Town
0 - 2
Histon
HIS
46%
27%
27%
154 136 -18 +1
30 Jan. 2012
THE
Worcester City
1 - 1
Histon
HIS
44%
27%
29%
154 161 7 0
28 Jan. 2012
HIS
Histon
2 - 2
Guiseley
GUI
46%
27%
27%
154 161 -7 0