Blue Eagles vs Dwangwa United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blue Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
KUN
2 - 1
BLU
50%
22%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MOY
0 - 1
BLU
43%
27%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 2
BLU
49%
22%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
RED
2 - 1
BLU
44%
26%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BLU
1 - 1
BUL
48%
23%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dwangwa United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
DWA
2 - 0
BUL
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
DWA
3 - 1
CIV
55%
23%
22%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SIL
3 - 0
DWA
48%
22%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
RED
1 - 0
DWA
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
DWA
0 - 0
MWF
51%
23%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |