Blarney United vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.1%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
87.1%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
12%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.3%
0-4
9.8%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
14.4%
0-5
6.4%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
8.8%
0-6
3.4%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.5%
0-7
1.6%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
2%
0-8
0.7%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.8%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blarney United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
BLU
0 - 4
DER
5%
11%
84%
|
5 | 73 | 68 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
BLU
1 - 4
MAL
31%
23%
46%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
BLU
0 - 2
SFI
13%
19%
68%
|
6 | 62 | 56 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
BLU
1 - 3
DER
10%
20%
70%
|
7 | 77 | 70 | -1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
SLR
0 - 1
DER
30%
24%
46%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
DER
1 - 2
SLR
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
DER
2 - 4
INS
55%
22%
23%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
DER
2 - 1
STP
57%
23%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2018 |
CAO
5 - 0
DER
60%
23%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |