National 3 Occitanie. Jor. 17

Blagnac vs Toulouse II analysis

Blagnac Toulouse II
29 ELO 30
-18.9% Tilt -15.7%
6592º General ELO ranking 7001º
150º Country ELO ranking 172º
ELO win probability
41.3%
Blagnac
25.4%
Draw
33.4%
Toulouse II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
Blagnac
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.4%
Win probability
Toulouse II
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Blagnac
+34%
-13%
Toulouse II

ELO progression

Blagnac
Toulouse II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Blagnac
Blagnac
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2020
BEA
Stade Beaucairois
1 - 1
Blagnac
BLA
58%
21%
21%
29 32 3 0
17 Oct. 2020
TOU
Toulouse II
0 - 1
Blagnac
BLA
56%
22%
22%
28 31 3 +1
26 Sep. 2020
BLA
Blagnac
2 - 1
Olympique Alès
OLY
33%
25%
42%
27 32 5 +1
12 Sep. 2020
BAL
Balma
1 - 0
Blagnac
BLA
49%
25%
26%
27 32 5 0
05 Sep. 2020
BLA
Blagnac
0 - 3
Nîmes II
NIM
38%
25%
37%
30 31 1 -3

Matches

Toulouse II
Toulouse II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2020
TOU
Toulouse II
0 - 1
Blagnac
BLA
56%
22%
22%
31 28 3 0
26 Sep. 2020
BEA
Stade Beaucairois
2 - 1
Toulouse II
TOU
48%
23%
29%
32 32 0 -1
12 Sep. 2020
OLY
Olympique Alès
4 - 3
Toulouse II
TOU
45%
25%
31%
33 31 2 -1
05 Sep. 2020
TOU
Toulouse II
6 - 1
Balma
BAL
41%
25%
33%
31 34 3 +2
29 Aug. 2020
NIM
Nîmes II
2 - 3
Toulouse II
TOU
52%
24%
24%
30 32 2 +1
X