Blacktown Spartans vs Sutherland Sharks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
18.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blacktown Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
BLA
6 - 0
BLA
84%
11%
6%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BLA
1 - 1
MAN
40%
21%
39%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
API
5 - 3
BLA
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BLA
0 - 3
SYD
47%
21%
33%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BLA
2 - 4
ROC
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Sutherland Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
SUT
2 - 4
ROC
25%
24%
51%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
WOL
3 - 1
SUT
84%
12%
4%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SUT
1 - 3
HAS
13%
20%
67%
|
24 | 64 | 40 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BON
3 - 1
SUT
77%
15%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SUT
2 - 0
PAE
57%
20%
23%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |