Black Stars vs Luzern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BLA
0 - 0
FCK
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
MUN
1 - 1
BLA
36%
25%
38%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
WAN
1 - 3
BLA
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BLA
3 - 0
SCH
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +3 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
MUT
0 - 1
BLA
27%
22%
52%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
LUZ
1 - 1
FCK
30%
24%
47%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SCH
4 - 3
LUZ
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LUZ
3 - 2
GRA
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
FCG
1 - 1
LUZ
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
LUZ
0 - 2
SEN
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |