Black Stars vs FC Muri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
5º
32
14º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
EMM
1 - 3
BLA
31%
22%
48%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 0
CON
56%
20%
24%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 1
SCH
61%
19%
20%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 0
BLA
29%
24%
48%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 0
DOR
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Muri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FCM
0 - 2
BAS
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 2
FCM
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
FCM
1 - 3
RTK
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FCM
0 - 7
WIN
6%
13%
82%
|
29 | 65 | 36 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SOL
6 - 2
FCM
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |