Black Stars vs Bern 1894 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
5 - 3
BLA
53%
22%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BLA
3 - 2
FCS
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SOL
1 - 0
BLA
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
BLA
1 - 7
KRI
53%
21%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BLA
1 - 2
ZUR
9%
15%
77%
|
45 | 82 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Bern 1894
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BER
1 - 4
LUZ
20%
22%
58%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BER
0 - 0
YOU
16%
20%
64%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 2
BER
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BER
2 - 2
FCS
45%
25%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SOL
6 - 0
BER
71%
18%
11%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |