Black Stars vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
LUZ
3 - 1
BLA
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
BLA
5 - 1
ZUG
77%
13%
9%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
FCS
1 - 0
BLA
16%
20%
65%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BLA
3 - 0
SOL
56%
21%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
THU
1 - 3
BLA
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
BAD
3 - 0
BUO
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 2
BAD
26%
23%
51%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
BAD
2 - 0
DEL
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 2
BAD
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BAD
1 - 2
MUN
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |