Black Forest vs Police XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
51.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BRH
2 - 1
BLF
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
TOW
4 - 0
BLF
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
BLF
1 - 0
CEN
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
EXT
2 - 0
BLF
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
BLF
1 - 0
SSS
14%
21%
65%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
ORA
1 - 0
POL
47%
28%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
POL
2 - 1
NOT
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
GAL
2 - 2
POL
60%
24%
16%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
POL
2 - 1
MIS
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 1
POL
50%
27%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |