Black Bulls Maputo vs Ferroviario Lichinga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Bulls Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
COS
0 - 1
BBM
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BBM
1 - 0
FER
64%
23%
13%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
IDX
2 - 2
BBM
20%
27%
53%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BBM
1 - 0
FER
59%
23%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HCB
3 - 0
BBM
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviario Lichinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LIC
3 - 0
MDM
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
LIC
46%
29%
26%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LIC
0 - 0
FER
43%
30%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
IDX
1 - 0
LIC
30%
28%
43%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FEN
1 - 2
LIC
40%
29%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |