Black Bulls Maputo vs Ferroviário Nacala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
11.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Bulls Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
DMA
1 - 2
BBM
17%
26%
58%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
BBM
1 - 1
HCB
58%
25%
18%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
BBM
31%
29%
41%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
BBM
3 - 0
MDM
74%
18%
9%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 2
BBM
24%
28%
49%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviário Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
LIG
0 - 0
FEN
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
FEN
3 - 0
DMA
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
HCB
1 - 2
FEN
64%
23%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 1
FER
34%
31%
35%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
MDM
0 - 3
FEN
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |