Croatia Third Division center Round 27

Bistra vs Kurilovec analysis

Bistra Kurilovec
31 ELO 27
-6.4% Tilt 0.1%
23097º General ELO ranking 33876º
82º Country ELO ranking 215º
ELO win probability
64.1%
Bistra
19.8%
Draw
16.1%
Kurilovec

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
Bistra
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.1%
Win probability
Kurilovec
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bistra
-13%
+18%
Kurilovec

Points and table prediction

Bistra
Their league position
Kurilovec
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
16º
14º
40
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
NK Karlovac 1919
87
87
100%
NK Maksimir
67
70
100%
Vrapče
62
65
100%
Lučko
58
59
100%
NK Ponikve
50
53
58.5%
Samobor
51
52
58.5%
Segesta
47
47
60%
Sava Strmec
44
47
45.5%
NK Trešnjevka
46
46
66%
Gaj Mače
10º
42
42
10º
17.5%
Kurilovec
11º
40
41
11º
8.5%
Lukavec
12º
40
41
12º
29%
NK HASK Zagreb
13º
40
41
13º
31%
Bistra
14º
38
38
14º
67.5%
 Dinamo OO
15º
37
37
15º
67.5%
Mladost Petrinja
16º
36
37
16º
67.5%
Tekstilac Ravnice
17º
36
36
17º
100%
Vrbovec
18º
24
24
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bistra
Kurilovec
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Bistra
Kurilovec
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bistra
Bistra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2023
LKV
Lukavec
1 - 1
Bistra
BIS
32%
22%
46%
32 27 5 0
12 Apr. 2023
BIS
Bistra
3 - 0
NK HASK Zagreb
HAS
70%
18%
12%
31 24 7 +1
01 Apr. 2023
NMP
Mladost Petrinja
0 - 1
Bistra
BIS
43%
23%
34%
30 29 1 +1
29 Mar. 2023
BIS
Bistra
2 - 3
NK Trešnjevka
TRE
58%
21%
22%
31 28 3 -1
26 Mar. 2023
NGM
Gaj Mače
2 - 1
Bistra
BIS
44%
23%
33%
32 30 2 -1

Matches

Kurilovec
Kurilovec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2023
NUK
Kurilovec
1 - 4
NK Karlovac 1919
KAR
12%
24%
64%
27 48 21 0
08 Apr. 2023
SEG
Segesta
1 - 0
Kurilovec
NUK
50%
23%
27%
28 27 1 -1
01 Apr. 2023
NUK
Kurilovec
0 - 3
Lučko
LUK
25%
24%
51%
30 40 10 -2
29 Mar. 2023
VRB
Vrbovec
0 - 0
Kurilovec
NUK
34%
23%
42%
30 25 5 0
25 Mar. 2023
NUK
Kurilovec
1 - 1
Vrapče
VRA
30%
24%
46%
30 37 7 0