Bischofswerdaer vs Blau-Weiß Zorbau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
7º
3º
31
3º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bischofswerdaer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 1
BIS
16%
20%
64%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CHL
4 - 0
BIS
68%
20%
12%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCA
3 - 2
BIS
18%
21%
62%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BIS
4 - 0
OBE
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
EWD
0 - 6
BIS
35%
22%
43%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Blau-Weiß Zorbau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SVB
1 - 2
BUD
59%
19%
23%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PLA
6 - 2
SVB
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AUE
1 - 1
SVB
50%
21%
29%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SCF
1 - 1
SVB
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SVB
3 - 1
LFC
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |