Birmingham City vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1894 |
ROT
2 - 3
BIR
19%
20%
61%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1894 |
BIR
10 - 2
MAC
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1894 |
GRI
2 - 1
BIR
28%
23%
50%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1894 |
NOT
3 - 1
BIR
39%
23%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1894 |
CRE
3 - 5
BIR
19%
20%
60%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1894 |
POR
5 - 3
LIN
47%
21%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1894 |
LIN
2 - 2
POR
56%
21%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1894 |
POR
1 - 2
WAL
67%
19%
15%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1894 |
POR
1 - 1
NEW
29%
24%
48%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1894 |
BUR
5 - 3
POR
61%
20%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |