Birmingham City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1956 |
BUR
2 - 0
BIR
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1956 |
OPA
3 - 4
BIR
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1956 |
BIR
4 - 2
ARS
57%
21%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1956 |
BIR
3 - 1
OPA
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1956 |
MUD
2 - 2
BIR
73%
16%
11%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1956 |
SHW
4 - 0
NEW
51%
21%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1956 |
NEW
1 - 0
CAR
66%
18%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1956 |
SUN
1 - 2
NEW
52%
21%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1956 |
CAR
5 - 2
NEW
45%
22%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1956 |
NEW
2 - 1
OPA
58%
20%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |