Birmingham City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1903 |
BAR
3 - 0
BIR
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1903 |
BIR
12 - 0
DON
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1903 |
LIN
0 - 1
BIR
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1903 |
ARS
6 - 1
BIR
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1903 |
BIR
5 - 1
BPO
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1903 |
MUD
2 - 1
POR
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1903 |
MUD
4 - 0
DON
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1903 |
PNE
3 - 1
MUD
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1903 |
MAC
0 - 2
MUD
77%
15%
9%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1903 |
MUD
4 - 0
BUR
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |