Birmingham City vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1892 |
SHE
2 - 0
BIR
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1892 |
WAL
1 - 3
BIR
24%
24%
53%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1892 |
BIR
5 - 1
POR
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 1890 |
WOL
2 - 1
BIR
68%
19%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1886 |
WBA
4 - 0
BIR
57%
22%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1892 |
SHE
4 - 2
LIN
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1890 |
PNE
4 - 0
LIN
79%
13%
8%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | 0 |