Birmingham City vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1893 |
BIR
6 - 2
BOO
74%
16%
11%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1893 |
BIR
6 - 2
NOR
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1893 |
LIN
3 - 4
BIR
21%
22%
57%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1892 |
CRE
1 - 3
BIR
22%
22%
57%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1892 |
NOR
0 - 6
BIR
20%
22%
58%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1893 |
GRI
2 - 2
LIN
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1893 |
POR
0 - 1
GRI
30%
25%
46%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1893 |
MAC
0 - 3
GRI
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1893 |
GRI
2 - 0
POR
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1893 |
NOR
5 - 3
GRI
27%
24%
49%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |