Birmingham City vs Burton Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1892 |
BOO
1 - 4
BIR
22%
23%
55%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1892 |
BIR
3 - 2
DAR
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1892 |
MAC
2 - 2
BIR
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1892 |
BIR
6 - 0
CRE
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1892 |
BUR
2 - 3
BIR
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Burton Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1892 |
BUR
2 - 0
NOR
73%
16%
11%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1892 |
POR
1 - 0
BUR
32%
25%
44%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1892 |
BUR
2 - 3
BIR
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1892 |
CRE
2 - 4
BUR
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1892 |
BUR
2 - 1
BOO
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |