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Malta League. Matchday 12

Birkirkara vs Qormi FC analysis

Birkirkara Qormi FC
29 ELO 9
32% Tilt -10%
5059º General ELO ranking 10864º
Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
64.1%
Birkirkara
20.7%
Draw
15.2%
Qormi FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
Birkirkara
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.2%
Win probability
Qormi FC
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Birkirkara
+8%
-46%
Qormi FC

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Valletta FC
58
58
50%
Hibernians
58
58
50%
Gzira United
50
50
100%
Hamrun Spartans
46
46
100%
Sliema Wanderers
45
45
100%
Balzan FC
43
43
100%
Birkirkara
39
39
100%
Floriana FC
32
32
100%
Mosta
29
29
100%
Senglea Athletic
10º
26
26
10º
50%
Tarxien Rainbows
11º
26
26
11º
50%
Saint Andrews
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Qormi FC
13º
20
20
13º
100%
Pieta Hotspurs
14º
13
13
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Birkirkara
Qormi FC
Champion
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Qormi FC
QOR
Birkirkara
BIR
Mosta
MOS
Senglea Athletic
SEN
Gzira United
GZI
Hibernians
HIB
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Birkirkara
Birkirkara
1%
X%
2%
ELO BIR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2018
NAD
Nadur Youngsters
0 - 4
Birkirkara
BIR
39%
27%
34%
372 112 -260 +2
24 Nov. 2018
MOS
Mosta
0 - 3
Birkirkara
BIR
39%
28%
33%
370 137 -233 +2
11 Nov. 2018
HIB
Hibernians
2 - 1
Birkirkara
BIR
45%
27%
28%
372 381 9 -1
02 Nov. 2018
BIR
Birkirkara
2 - 0
Sliema Wanderers
SLI
45%
27%
28%
370 381 -11 +2
26 Oct. 2018
HAM
Hamrun Spartans
2 - 1
Birkirkara
BIR
40%
28%
32%
371 151 -220 -1

Matches

Qormi FC
Qormi FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO QOR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2018
QOR
Qormi FC
1 - 5
Hibernians
HIB
39%
28%
33%
144 384 -240 -2
25 Nov. 2018
QOR
Qormi FC
1 - 2
Hibernians
HIB
39%
28%
33%
145 383 -238 -1
10 Nov. 2018
SLI
Sliema Wanderers
2 - 0
Qormi FC
QOR
50%
26%
24%
147 379 232 -2
04 Nov. 2018
QOR
Qormi FC
0 - 2
Hamrun Spartans
HAM
46%
27%
27%
149 152 -3 -2
27 Oct. 2018
TAR
Tarxien Rainbows
1 - 0
Qormi FC
QOR
45%
27%
28%
150 161 11 -1